What Happens To Iran’s Power Structure
Iran’s Leader in Hiding Amid Attacks
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, in power since 1989, is reportedly hiding due to fears of assassination after the US struck key nuclear sites on June 21. President Donald Trump announced the destruction of nuclear facilities at Fordo, Isfahan, and Natanz, calling the attack a “spectacular military success.” Iran responded by firing missiles at US bases in Qatar and Iraq.
Power of the Supreme Leader
In Iran, the Supreme Leader holds ultimate authority, surpassing even the president, who follows the Leader’s directives. This position controls the government’s core decisions, making it more powerful than typical presidential roles elsewhere.
Succession Uncertainty
If Khamenei dies or is removed, the Assembly of Experts, a group of 88 senior clerics, selects the new leader—similar to the Catholic Church’s selection of a pope. However, this process is complex and unpredictable. Khamenei has named three potential successors, but none are public. The Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) plays a key role in this choice.
Future Challenges and Chaos
Experts say it’s unclear if any successor will have Khamenei’s authority. Ray Takeyh noted, “Ali Khamenei is still – within the regime, at least, his ability to impose order is there. Now whether he’ll have a successor at that time with a similar degree of authority, I don’t think so, in the short term.” This could lead to “much more chaotic” decision-making and competing power centers within Iran’s leadership.
